Pundits and experts are nothing, if not consistent.
“So I repeat that while theoretically and technically television may be feasible, yet commercially and financially I consider it an impossibility; a development of which we need waste little time in dreaming.”
Lee DeForest, inventor of the Audion vacuum tube, (1926) Chambers Dictionary of Quotations, 1997
“I think there is a world market for about five computers.”
Thomas Watson Jr, Chairman IBM, (1943) Chambers Dictionary of Quotations, 1997
“Space travel is utter bilge. “
Richard van der Reit Wooley, Astronomer Royal, British government, 1956
“[Television] won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.”
Darryl F. Zanuck, 20th Century-Fox, 1946
“If an elderly but distinguished scientist says that something is possible, he is almost certainly right; but if he says that it is impossible, he is very probably wrong.”
Arthur C Clarke, (1962) Chambers Dictionary of Quotations, 1997.
When Jobs returned to Apple in 1997, the experts gave the company only a few more years before it disappeared. No matter what the pundits had to say, he did not stray from his goal of making technology more friendly, accessible, and fun.
Confidently, the experts have pronounced every new product a failure.
“It’s desperation time in Cupertino, Calif., as Apple is going into the retail store business to ensure that its products receive enough attention. This move is fraught with problems, however, because the reason that Apple products are not getting the retailers’ attention is because they are not selling well. If Apple machines were moving fast off the shelves, retailers would be happy to provide the shelf space.”
Arne Alsin, “Apple is Scraping the Bottom of the Barrel,” The Street, October 25, 2001
“The hype is reaching fever-pitch, and the odds are still stacked that Apple will announce a device combining the functionality of an iPod and a mobile phone in January next year, but whether such a device will actually sell is another question.”
Bill Ray, “Why the Apple Phone will fail, and Fail Badly”, The Register, Dec 23, 2006.
“Apple’s iPad—what is it good for? Absolutely nothing! Say it again. Actually, those are the lyrics to the song “War,” but they also apply to the iPad, methinks.”
John Dvorak, “Apple’s Good for Nothing iPad,” PC Magazine, Feb 2, 2010.
ABI Research predicates that Zune will do in the iPod…
“Some 58% of current iPod owners who are planning to buy a new digital media device in the next 12 months are “likely” to choose Microsoft’s Zune, according to a survey published by ABI Research.”
Bryan Chaffin, “Survey Finds Many iPod Owners Ready to Buy Zune [UPDATE],” iPodObserver, Nov 6, 2006.
“When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in confederacy against him.”
Jonathan Swift, Bartlett’s Familiar Quotations, 2002
Steve Jobs’ life confirmed for each of us that, regardless of the conventional wisdom, dreams are to be pursued.
Goodbye, Steve. Thanks.